Research Publications

The Great Lakes contain 20 percent of the world’s fresh surface water, a drinking source for 30- million people. The system is vital to manufacturing, largely due to efficient transportation of commodities and an abundance of natural resources. Understanding the water balance and predicting future water levels is important for many industries including commercial navigation, the tourist industry, hydropower and shoreline property owners, just to name a few. These predictions require an understanding of both the hydroclimate drivers across the Great Lakes as well as physical changes in the connecting channels that pass water between each lake. Since the International Upper Great Lakes Study began, the St. Clair River has been the topic of conveyance change investigations. This study tests the sensitivity of water surface elevations to small differences in bathymetric changes. Greater than 80 percent of the surveyed points had less than 0.24 m of change between any combination of survey years. Repeat bathymetric surveys collected in 2007, 2012 and 2021, along with hydrodynamic modeling, find changes in water surface elevations associated with bathymetric change are on the sub-centimeter scale. These changes are put into perspective and compared to known anthropogenic and naturally occurring conveyance changes. While these surveys represent a short duration in the observed water level record of the Great Lakes, they represent an important documentation of the geomorphic state of the St. Clair River. These changes can and should be compared to similar future surveys of the river over longer engineering and geomorphic timescales.