Climate Change: Policy and Mitigation Factsheet
The Challenge
Climate change is a global problem that requires global cooperation to address. The objective of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which virtually all nations, including the U.S., have ratified, is to stabilize greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations at a level that will not cause “dangerous anthropogenic (human-induced) interference with the climate system.”1 Due to the persistence of some GHGs in the atmosphere, significant emissions reductions must be achieved in coming decades to meet the UNFCCC objective. In 2023, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published its Sixth Assessment Report. The report details the impacts of climate change and mitigation and adaptation strategies. To limit warming to 1.5°C, global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions need to be reduced by 48% by 2030 and reach net zero in the early 2050s, followed by net negative CO2 emissions.2 This requires deep and rapid emission reductions in all sectors.2 Current national targets under the Paris Agreement would lead to 52–58 Gt CO2e emissions per year by 2030—too high to meet the 1.5°C target. 2018 GHG emissions were approximately 42 Gt CO2 and would need to drop to between 25-30 Gt CO2 per year by 2030 to remain on target.3 In 2022, U.S. GHG emissions were 6.34 Gt CO2e.4
Future Global Temperature Pathways3
General Policies
Market-Based Instruments
- Market-based approaches include carbon taxes, baseline and credit programs, subsidies, cap-and-trade programs, and clean energy standards.5 In a tradable carbon permit system, permits equal to an allowed level of emissions are distributed or auctioned. Parties with emissions below their allowance are able to sell their excess permits to other parties that have exceeded their emissions allowance.6 Market-based instruments are recognized for their potential to reduce emissions by allowing for flexibility and ingenuity in the private sector.6
Regulatory Instruments
- Regulatory approaches include non-tradable permits, technology and emissions standards, product bans, and government investment.
- In 2007, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that CO2 and other GHGs meet the Clean Air Act’s definition of air pollutants, which are regulated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).7 After several appeals, the U.S. Court of Appeals upheld the ruling in 2012.8 A 2022 U.S. Supreme Court ruling limited the EPA’s ability to regulate GHG emissions.9
- In 2024, new vehicle economy standards for model years 2027-2031 were set. Corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards will increase to 50.4 mpg for new light-duty vehicles by 2031. New standards will save more than $23B in fuel costs. For more information, reference the Personal Transportation Factsheet.10
- State-level climate policies are a primary driver of GHG reductions.11
Voluntary Agreements
- Voluntary agreements are generally made between a government agency and one or more private parties to “achieve environmental objectives or to improve environmental performance beyond compliance.”12 EPA partners with various sectors to oversee a variety of voluntary programs aimed at reducing GHG emissions, increasing clean energy adoption, and adapting to climate change.13
The Kyoto Protocol
- The Kyoto Protocol came into force on February 16, 2005, and established mandatory, enforceable targets for GHG emissions. Initial emissions reductions for participating countries ranged from –8% to +10% of 1990 levels, while the overall reduction goal was 5% below the 1990 level by 2012.14 When the first commitment period ended in 2012, the Protocol was amended for a second commitment period; the amended reduction goal was 18% below 1990 levels by 2020.14
The Paris Agreement
- In December 2015, all Parties of the UNFCCC reached a climate change mitigation and adaptation agreement, called the Paris Agreement, to keep the global temperature increase (from pre-industrial levels) below 2°C.15
- The Paris Agreement entered into force on November 4, 2016.16 As of May 2023, The Paris Agreement had 198 signatories, 195 of which have ratified the agreement (including the U.S.).16
Global Net Zero Pathways2
Government Action in the U.S.
Federal Policy
- According to the U.S. Senate, “…Congress should enact a comprehensive and effective national program of mandatory, market-based limits and incentives on emissions of greenhouse gases that slow, stop, and reverse the growth of such emissions at a rate and in a manner that will not significantly harm the United States economy and will encourage comparable action by other nations…”17
- Due to the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2008, large emitters of GHGs in the U.S. must report emissions to the EPA.18 In 2023, the EPA proposed a new rule that would set limits for GHG emissions from power plants. This rule includes New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) and emission guidelines for new and existing fossil fuel plants.19
- In April 2021, President Biden announced the U.S. will “target reducing emissions by 50-52% by 2030 compared to 2005 levels.”20
- The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 provides resources to organizations including businesses, NGOs, and state, local, and tribal governments to accelerate the clean energy transition.21
State Policy
- 32 states and D.C. have released climate change action plans.22 23 states and D.C. have GHG emissions reduction targets. California is targeting GHG emissions 40% below 1990 levels by 2030 and net zero CO2 emissions by 2045.23
- 29 states, D.C., and three U.S. territories have Renewable Portfolio Standards, which specify the percentage of electricity to be generated from renewable sources by a certain date. Six states have Clean Energy Standards, which specify the percentage of electricity to be generated from low-and no-carbon sources.24
- A group of governors formed the U.S. Climate Alliance to achieve the GHG reductions outlined in the Paris Agreement. The alliance represents 55% of the U.S. population and 60% of the U.S. economy.25
Mitigation Strategies
Stabilizing atmospheric CO2 concentrations requires changes in energy production and use. Mitigation cannot be achieved without agencies working collectively and immense GHG emission reductions in all sectors.13 Stronger mitigation efforts require increased upfront investments, yet the global benefits of avoided damages and reduced adaptation costs exceeds the mitigation expense.2
- Energy Savings: Many energy efficiency efforts require an initial capital investment, but the payback period is often only a few years. In 2016, the Minneapolis Clean Energy Partnership planned to retrofit 75% of Minneapolis residences for efficiency and allocated resources to buy down the cost of energy audits and provide no-interest financing for energy efficiency upgrades.26
- Fuel Switching: Switching power plants and vehicles to less carbon-intensive fuels can achieve emission reductions quickly. Switching from an average coal plant to a natural gas combined cycle plant can reduce CO2 emissions by approximately 50%.13
- Capturing and Storing Emissions: CO2 can be captured from large point sources both pre- and post-combustion of fossil fuels. Once CO2 is separated, it can be placed underground depending on the geology of a site. Currently, CO2 is used in enhanced oil recovery (EOR), but long-term storage technologies remain expensive.27 Alternatively, existing CO2 can be removed from the atmosphere through Negative Emissions Technologies and approaches such as direct air capture and sequestration, bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration, and land management strategies.28
Individual Action
- There are many actions that individuals can take to reduce their GHG emissions; many involve energy conservation and also save money. Choose a fuel-efficient or electric vehicle.29 Decrease the amount you drive by using public transportation, riding a bike, walking, or telecommuting. For a 20-mi round trip commute, switching to public transit can prevent 4,800 lbs of CO2 emissions per year.30
- When purchasing appliances, look for the Energy Star label and choose the most energy efficient model. Energy Star light bulbs use ~90% less energy than standard bulbs, last 15 times longer, and save ~$55 in electricity costs over their lifetimes.31
- Space heating is the largest energy use in residential buildings (33%).32 Ground source heat pumps use 75% less energy than traditional systems. See the Geothermal Factsheet.33
- Ensure that your house is properly sealed by reducing air leaks, installing the recommended level of insulation, and choosing Energy Star windows.34
Center for Sustainable Systems, University of Michigan. 2024. "Climate Change: Policy and Mitigation Factsheet." CSS05-20.
References
- United Nations (UN) (1992) United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2023) Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Full Volume.
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_FullVolume.pdf
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2018) Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5C
https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/chapter/spm/
- U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (2024) Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks 1990 - 2022.
https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-sinks-1990-2022
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2020) Market Mechanisms: Options for Climate Policy.
https://www.c2es.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/market-mechanisms-options-climate-policy.pdf
- U.S. EPA (2001) The United States Experience with Economic Incentives for Protecting the Environment.
- Massachusetts, et al. v. EPA, et al. (2007) Supreme Court of the United States. Case No. 05-1120.
https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/549/497/#tab-opinion-1962181
- U.S. EPA (2018) “U.S. Court of Appeals - D.C. Circuit Upholds EPA’s Actions to Reduce Greenhouse Gases under the Clean Air Act.”
- Congressional Research Service (2022) Supreme Court Addresses Major Questions Doctrine and EPA’s Regulation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions.
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/LSB/LSB10791
- National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) (2024) USDOT Finalizes New Fuel Economy Standards for Model Years 2027-2031
- Benjamin Leffel, Thomas P. Lyon, and Joshua P. Newell (2024) Filling the climate governance gap: Do corporate decarbonization initiatives matter as much as state and local government policy? Energy Research & Social Science, Volume 109, 2024, 103376.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221462962300436X
- IPCC (2014) Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change.
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg3/
- U.S. EPA (2021) “Clean Energy Programs.”
https://www.epa.gov/energy/clean-energy-programs
- UNFCCC (2020) “What is the Kyoto Protocol.”
https://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol
- UNFCCC (2016) Summary of the Paris Agreement.
https://unfccc.int/most-requested/key-aspects-of-the-paris-agreement
- UNFCCC (2023) Paris Agreement-Status of Ratification.
https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/status-of-ratification
- U.S. Congress (2005) Energy Policy Act of 2005. 109th Congress.
https://www.energy.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2005/6/press-96bc510d-6c74-4a44-826d-9843a8ec9183
- U.S. EPA (2017) “Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program.”
https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/ghg-reporters
- U.S. EPA (2023) Greenhouse Gas Standards and Guidelines for Fossil Fuel-Fired Power Plants Proposed Rule Fact Sheet.
- The White House Briefing Room (2021) "Fact Sheet: President Biden’s Leaders Summit on Climate."
- EPA (2023) "Summary of Inflation Reduction Act Provisions Related to Renewable Energy."
https://www.epa.gov/green-power-markets/inflation-reduction-act
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2023) U.S. State Climate Action Plans.
https://www.c2es.org/document/climate-action-plans/
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2023) U.S. State Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets.
http://www.c2es.org/us-states-regions/policy-maps/emissions-targets
- DSIRE (2022) U.S. Summary Maps: Renewable and Clean Energy Standards.
https://ncsolarcen-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/RPS-CES-Nov2022.pdf
- United States Climate Alliance (2023) U.S. Climate Alliance Fact Sheet.
https://usclimatealliance.org/policy-priorities/
- U.S. EPA (2018) "2016 Climate Leadership Award Winners.”
https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climateleadership/2016-climate-leadership-award-winners_.html
- Kleinman Center for Energy Policy (2020) The Challenge of Scaling Negative Emissions.
https://kleinmanenergy.upenn.edu/energy-policy-now/challenge-scaling-negative-emissions
- The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (2018) Negative Emissions Technologies and Reliable Sequestration: A Research Agenda.
https://www.nap.edu/resource/25259/Negative%20Emissions%20Technologies.pdf
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2020) "Reducing Your Transportation Footprint."
https://www.c2es.org/content/reducing-your-transportation-footprint/
- Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2020) "Reducing Your Transportation Footprint."
https://www.c2es.org/content/reducing-your-transportation-footprint/
- Energy Star (2020) “Light Bulbs.”
https://www.energystar.gov/products/certified-products/detail/light-bulbs
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (2023) Annual Energy Outlook 2023.
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/
- Geothermal Exchange Organization. (2019) Geothermal Benefits.
https://www.geoexchange.org/geothermal-benefits/
- Energy Star (2022) “Seal and Insulate with ENERGY STAR.”