Unconventional Fossil Fuels Factsheet

Pattern of Use

Fossil fuels supply 82% of U.S.1 and 80% of the world’s energy use2. Conventional and unconventional fossil fuels differ in their geologic locations and accessibility; conventional fuels are often found in discrete, easily accessible reservoirs, while unconventional fuels are found throughout a wide geologic formation, requiring advanced extraction techniques.3 If unconventional oil resources (oil shale, tar sands, extra heavy oil, and natural bitumen) are accounted for, global oil reserves are quadruple current conventional reserves.4 The shale gas and tight oil boom has transformed the U.S. into the world’s top oil and gas producer and a leading exporter.5

Global Projected Liquid Fuel Production (M bbl/d)6

Major Unconventional Sources

Unconventional Natural Gas

  • Unconventional natural gas (UG) comes primarily from three sources: shale gas in low-permeability shale formations; tight gas in low-permeability sandstone and carbonate reservoirs; and coalbed methane (CBM) in coal seams.7
  • UG, particularly shale and tight gas, is most commonly extracted through hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking.” A mixture of fluid (water) and sand is pumped underground at extreme pressures to create cracks in the geologic formation, allowing gas to flow out. When the pressure is released, a portion of the fluid returns as “flowback,” and the sand remains as a “proppant,” keeping the fractures open.7 
  • Many global resources have yet to be assessed. By current estimates, China has the largest technically recoverable shale gas resource with 1,115 trillion cubic feet (Tcf), followed by Argentina (802 Tcf), Algeria (707 Tcf) and the U.S. (623 Tcf).8
  • Global tight gas resources are estimated at 2,684 Tcf, with the largest amounts in Asia/Pacific and Latin America. Resources of CBM are estimated at 1,660 Tcf, with more than 75% in Eastern Europe/Eurasia and Asia/Pacific.7
  • Recoverable U.S. resources are estimated at 1,778 Tcf from shale and tight gas, and 76 Tcf from CBM.9 UG was 89% (32 Tcf) of U.S. dry natural gas production in 2022 and is expected to be 93% of production by 2050.10 The U.S. shale gas production increased twenty-eightfold since 2000, reaching 30 Tcf in 2023.11 
Hydraulic Fracturing Horizontal Well7
Image
Hydraulic Fracturing Horizontal Well
U.S. Shale Gas and Non-Shale Gas Production (Bcf/d)11

Tight Oil

  • Tight oil, or shale oil, is found in impermeable rocks such as shale or limestone and is extracted through fracking, often concurrently with NG.12 It is estimated that the U.S. has 191B bbl of technically recoverable tight oil.9
  • Over the past decade, tight oil production has expanded significantly. In 2023, 64% (8.32M bbl/d) of crude oil production in the U.S. came from tight oil.13 
  • Negative health effects in newborns from in utero exposure to fracking sites have been found in multiple studies.14, 15, 16, 17, 18
U.S. Tight Oil & Conventional Oil Production (M bbl/d)11

Tar Sands

  • Tar sands, “oil sands,” or “natural bitumen,” are a combination of sand (83%), bitumen (10%), water (4%), and clay (3%). Bitumen is a semisolid, tar-like mixture of hydrocarbons.19
  • Known tar sands deposits exist in 23 countries.20 Canada has 73% of global estimated tar sands, approximately 2.4T bbls of oil. The U.S. has 1.6% of global tar sands resources;20 however, 60% of U.S. crude oil imports came from Canada in 202321, and 65% of Canadian production is from tar sands.22
  • Deposits less than 250 feet below the surface are mined and processed to separate the bitumen.23 Deeper deposits employ in situ (underground) methods, including steam or solvent injection to liquify the bitumen so that it can be extracted.19 Bitumen must be upgraded to synthetic crude oil (SCO) before it is refined into oil products.19 Around two tons of tar sands produce one barrel of SCO.19 

Oil Shale

  • Oil shale is a sedimentary rock with deposits of organic compounds called kerogen, which has not undergone enough geologic pressure, heat, and time to become conventional oil. Oil shale can be heated to generate petroleum-like liquids.24
  • Oil shale deposits exist in 33 countries.4 The U.S. has the largest oil shale resource in the world, ~6T bbls,4 though oil shale is far from commercial development.25
Production Cost Ranges, Conventional and Unconventional Fossil Fuels ($/GJ)19
Image
Production Cost Ranges

Life Cycle Impacts

Greenhouse Gas Emissions (See Greenhouse Gases Factsheet)

  • Fossil fuel combustion accounted for 74% of U.S. GHG emissions in 2022.
  • Equivalent amounts of GHGs are released by conventional and unconventional fuels at the point of use. Life cycle emissions for unconventional oil are higher than conventional oil on average, though some studies suggest they are similar.27 Life cycle emissions for shale gas are estimated to be from 6% lower28 to 43% higher than conventional NG.29 Life cycle emissions for tar sands are 17% higher than average refined U.S. crude30, and oil shale emissions are 21%-47% higher than conventional oil.31 
  • NG generates fewer GHG emissions when combusted than other fossil fuels,32 but CH4 leakage can significantly decrease any emissions benefit of NG.28 CH4 leakage from the U.S. oil and NG supply chain is estimated to be 13 Mt/yr, equivalent to 2.3% of U.S. annual gross NG production and nearly 42% of U.S. anthropogenic CH4 emissions.33 With CH4’s global warming potential of almost 30,34 this is equivalent to 387 Mt of CO2, or 6.1% of total U.S. GHG emissions in 2022.26

Water

  • Producing one bbl of oil from oil shale uses 1-12 bbl of water for in situ production and 2-4 bbl of water for mining;35 one bbl of oil from tar sands uses 0.4-3.1 bbl of water;36 one bbl of oil from Saudi Arabia uses 1.4 bbl of water.37
  • A horizontal gas well can require 2-4M gal of water to drill and fracture.38 One study found shale gas production uses up to four times more water than producing conventional NG.32
  • CBM production requires groundwater extraction; U.S. CBM basins withdraw 32M to 15B gal/yr of water from aquifers.39
  • Wastewater from oil and gas extraction can contain excess salts, high levels of trace elements, and naturally-occurring radioactive materials.40 Groundwater can be polluted through above- and below-ground activities, including construction, drilling, chemical spills, leaks, and discharge of wastewater.41

Land Impacts and Waste

  • More than 75% of U.S. oil shale is on federal land,42 of which 678,700 acres has been designated for development.43 A 20,000 bbl/d tar sands facility requires 2,950 ac of land and creates 52k ton/d of waste sand; a 25k-30k bbl/d oil shale facility requires 300-1,200 ac and creates 17 to 23M ton/yr of waste.44 Oil shale facilities are active for several years.44 
  • One gas well requires one to two ha of land, in addition to road networks.45 Drilling fluid, or “mud,” is used to cool the drill bit, regulate pressure, and remove rock fragments. One well may require hundreds of tons of mud and produce 110 to 550 tons of rock cuttings.7
  • Small to moderate magnitude (<M6) seismic activity has been linked to underground injection of wastewater produced in oil and gas operations.46 Fracking has been associated with microearthquakes (<M2), but no association has been found with larger magnitude events.47 
  • The human toxicity impact (HTI) of electricity produced from shale gas is estimated to be lower than that from coal. Particulate matter is the dominant factor for both systems.48

Solutions and Sustainable Actions

  • MD, NY, OR, WA, and VT have fracking bans, and CA is awaiting approval of final regulations for a full ban.49
  • Chemicals used in hydraulic fracturing fluid are often proprietary.50 Requiring companies to disclose them will lead to better understanding of public health risk from their use.38 26 U.S. states require disclosures through FracFocus.51
  • Careful siting and monitoring of injection wells can reduce the potential for seismic events.7 
  • Efficiency improvements and wastewater recycling can significantly reduce water used in oil and gas extraction.
  • By 2050, nearly 60% of current oil and NG reserves must remain unextracted to keep within a 1.5 °C carbon budget.52
Cite As

Center for Sustainable Systems, University of Michigan. 2024. "Unconventional Fossil Fuels Factsheet." Pub. No. CSS13-19.

1. U.S. EIA (2024) Monthly Energy Review May 2024. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/index.php

2. IEA (2023) World Energy Outlook 2023. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/86ede39e-4436-42d7-ba2a-edf61467e070/WorldEnergyOutlook2023.pdf

3. Behrens, C., et al. (2011) U.S. Fossil Fuel Resources: Terminology, Reporting, and Summary. https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R40872.pdf

4. World Energy Council (2016) World Energy Resources 2016. https://www.worldenergy.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/World-Energy-Resources-Full-report-2016.10.03.pdf

5. IEA (2019) The US shale revolution has reshaped the energy landscape at home and abroad, according to latest IEA policy review. https://www.iea.org/news/the-us-shale-revolution-has-reshaped-the-energy-landscape-at-home-and-abroad-according-to-latest-iea-policy-review

6. U.S. EIA (2018) Annual Energy Outlook 2018. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/?filter=international%20-%20international 

7. IEA (2012) "Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gas: World Energy Outlook Special Report on Unconventional Gas." https://www.iea.org/reports/golden-rules-for-a-golden-age-of-gas

8. U.S. EIA (2015) World Shale Resource Assessments. http://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/worldshalegas/

9. U.S. EIA (2023) Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2023: Oil and Gas Supply Module. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/assumptions/pdf/OGSM_Assumptions.pdf

10. U.S. EIA (2023) Annual Energy Outlook 2023. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/tables_ref.php

11. U.S. EIA (2024) Short-Term Energy Outlook. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/data/browser/#/?v=33&f=A&s=&ctype=linechart&maptype=0&id=

12. Union of Concerned Scientists (2016) "What is Tight Oil?" https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/what-tight-oil

13. U.S. EIA (2024) "How much shale (tight) oil is produced in the United States?" https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=847&t=6

14. Raimi, D. (2018) The Health Impacts of the Shale Revolution. Resources for the Future. https://media.rff.org/documents/RFF-IB-18-04.pdf

15. Hill, E. L., & Ma, L. (2022). Drinking water, fracking, and infant health. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167629622000157#sec0004

16. Currie, J., Greenstone, M., & Meckel, K. (2017). Hydraulic fracturing and infant health: New evidence from Pennsylvania. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1603021

17. Apergis, N., Hayat, T., & Saeed, T. (2019). Fracking and infant mortality: fresh evidence from Oklahoma. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6875147/

18. Schuele, Hailee, et al. (2022) Associations between proximity to gas production activity in counties and birth outcomes across the US. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9554803/

19. IEA Energy Technology Network (2010) Unconventional Oil & Gas Production. https://iea-etsap.org/E-TechDS/PDF/P02-Uncon_oil&gas-GS-gct.pdf

20. World Energy Council (2010) 2010 Survey of Energy Resources. https://www.worldenergy.org/assets/downloads/ser_2010_report_1.pdf

21. U.S. EIA (2024) U.S. Crude Oil Imports by Country of Origin. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_epc0_im0_mbbl_a.htm

22. Natural Resources Canada (2023) "Energy Fact Book 2023-2024". https://energy-information.canada.ca/sites/default/files/2023-10/energy-factbook-2023-2024.pdf

23. Ramseur, J., et al. (2014) Oil Sands and the Keystone XL Pipeline. Congressional Research Service. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42611.pdf

24. Colorado School of Mines (2020) “About Oil Shale.” https://libguides.mines.edu/oilshale

25. U.S. EIA (2017) Annual Energy Outlook 2017. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/?filter=international%20-%20international

26. U.S. EPA (2024) Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2022. https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-sinks-1990-2022

27. Argonne National Laboratory (2015) "Analysis shows GHG emissions similar for shale, crude oil." https://www.anl.gov/article/analysis-shows-greenhouse-gas-emissions-similar-for-shale-crude-oil

28. Burnham, A., et al. (2012) "Life-Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Shale Gas, Natural Gas, Coal, and Petroleum." Environmental Science & Technology, 46(2): 619-627. http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es201942m

29. Howarth, R., et al. (2011) "Methane and the greenhouse-gas footprint of natural gas from shale formations." Climatic Change, 106(4): 679-690. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-011-0061-5

30. Lattanzio, R. (2014) Canadian Oil Sands: Life Cycle Assessments of Greenhouse Gas Emissions. https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42537.pdf

31. Brandt, A. (2008) "Converting Oil Shale to Liquid Fuels: Energy Inputs and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of the Shell in Situ Conversion Process." Environmental Science & Technology, 42(19): 7489-7495. https://pubs.acs.org/doi/full/10.1021/es800531f

32. Clark, C., et al. (2013) Hydraulic Fracturing and Shale Gas Production: Technology, Impacts, and Regulations. Argonne National Laboratory. http://www.osti.gov/scitech/biblio/1054498

33. Alvarez, R. et al. (2018) Assessment of methane emissions from the U.S. oil and gas supply chain. Science, 361(6398): 186-188. https://science.sciencemag.org/content/361/6398/186

34. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2021) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/

35. U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) (2011) Impacts of Potential Oil Shale Development on Water Resources. https://www.gao.gov/assets/130/126827.pdf

36. Yale School of the Environment (2013) "With Tar Sands Development, Growing Concern on Water Use." https://e360.yale.edu/features/with_tar_sands_development_growing_concern_on_water_use

37. Wu, M. and Y. Chiu (2011) Consumptive Water Use in the Production of Ethanol and Petroleum Gasoline - 2011 Update. Argonne National Laboratory. http://greet.es.anl.gov/publication-consumptive-water

38. U.S. Department of Energy (2009) Modern Shale Gas Development in the United States: A Primer. http://energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2013/03/f0/ShaleGasPrimer_Online_4-2009.pdf

39. U.S. EPA (2010) Coalbed Methane Extraction: Detailed Study Report. http://nepis.epa.gov/EPA/html/DLwait.htm?url=/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P100MQJE.PDF?Dockey=P100MQJE.PDF

40. U.S. EPA (2020) “Unconventional Oil and Gas Extraction Effluent Guidelines.” https://www.epa.gov/eg/unconventional-oil-and-gas-extraction-effluent-guidelines

41. U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) (2012) Water Quality Studied in Areas of Unconventional Oil and Gas Development, Including Areas Where Hydraulic Fracturing Techniques are Used, in the United States. http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2012/3049/FS12-3049_508.pdf

42. U.S. DOE (2012) Assessment of Plans and Progress on U.S. Bureau of Land Management Oil Shale RD&D Leases in the United States. https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2013/04/f0/BLM_Final.pdf

43. U.S. BLM (2017) Final Oil Shale Rule. https://www.blm.gov/documents/national-office/public-room/blm-library/oil-shale-management-final-rule

44. U.S. Bureau of Land Management (BLM) (2012) Proposed Land Use Plan Amendments for Allocation of Oil Shale and Tar Sands Resources on Lands Administered by the Bureau of Land Management in Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming and Final Programmatic Environmental Im. http://ostseis.anl.gov/documents/peis2012/index.cfm

45. United Nations Environment Programme (2012) "Gas fracking: can we safely squeeze the rocks?" https://na.unep.net/geas/archive/pdfs/GEAS_Nov2012_Fracking.pdf

46. USGS (2020) “Myths and Misconceptions About Induced Earthquakes.” https://www.usgs.gov/natural-hazards/earthquake-hazards/science/myths-and-misconceptions-about-induced-earthquakes?qt-science_center_objects=0#qt-science_center_objects

47. Ellsworth, W. (2013) "Injection-Induced Earthquakes." Science, 341: 6142. http://www.sciencemag.org/content/341/6142/1225942.short

48. Chen, L., et al. (2017) “Comparative Human Toxicity Impact of Electricity Produced from Shale Gas and Coal.” Environmental Science and Technology 51(21): 13018–13027. https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.est.7b03546

49. Climate XChange (2024) Policy Explainer: Drilling Down on State Efforts to Ban Fracking. https://climate-xchange.org/2024/08/policy-explainer-drilling-down-on-state-efforts-to-ban-fracking/

50. United Nations Environment Programme (2012) "Gas fracking: can we safely squeeze the rocks?" https://na.unep.net/geas/archive/pdfs/GEAS_Nov2012_Fracking.pdf

51. FracFocus (2024) Regulations. https://fracfocus.org/explore/regulations

52. Welsby, D., Price, J., Pye, S. et al.(2021) Unextractable fossil fuels in a 1.5 °C world. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03821-8

 

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